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Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State University · 2026 · Conference USA

Efficiency
-4.4
85th FBS
Record
1-2
Conf. record
Conf. finish
2nd
proj. of 10
Jacksonville State Fanboard →

Jacksonville State is 1-2 and ranked 85th in overall efficiency. Their 63rd-ranked offense is the engine, backed by an 118th-ranked defense. They run the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 64th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with an 83rd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-0
+1 left
Q4
1-1
+8 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
121st
-1.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
68th
full season
133rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
130th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0@ North Dakota StateMountain West#40L 733-13.80%-18.2Q2
1vs Eastern KentuckyUACW 497+38.7100%10.2Q4
2@ OhioMid-American#98L 2729-0.30%0.4Q4
3vs Georgia SouthernSun Belt#113Preview+9.271%Q4
4vs Middle TennesseeConference USA#111Preview+8.970%Q4
6@ Kennesaw StateConference USA#125Preview+8.469%Q4
7vs FIUConference USA#100Preview+6.465%Q4
9@ New Mexico StateConference USA#120Preview+7.567%Q4
10vs Sam HoustonConference USA#123Preview+13.278%Q4
11@ Western KentuckyConference USA#133Preview+13.078%Q4
12vs Missouri StateConference USA#99Preview+6.064%Q4
13@ DelawareConference USA#82Preview-3.642%Q3

3 played · 1-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Jacksonville State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-15.9-4.0+7.9-18100Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 83rd
SR 101stYPP 69thEPA 73rd
RushingEff 64th
SR 47thYPP 77thEPA 69th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 45th
SR 107thYPP 46thEPA 16th
Rush defenseEff 123rd
SR 114thYPP 130thEPA 123rd
Dropback rate 45%Tempo -4.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 91st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 48%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 55%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 47%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 28.0Q1 · Allowed: 7.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 24.0Q2 · Allowed: 24.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 14.0Q3 · Allowed: 3.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 14.0Q4 · Allowed: 23.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledJacksonville StateOffenseDefense
Jacksonville State Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 63rd
+1.1
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: +0.6
Field position +0.4Finishing drives +0.6= +1.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 49th · Finishing 64th

Defensive EffRanked 118th
-6.2
Field position: -0.2Finishing drives: -6.1
Field position -0.2Finishing drives -6.1= -6.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 75th · Finishing 117th

1.58 points per drive on offense, 1.13 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(41)44% / 56%49%6.2
Q2(43)49% / 51%47%8.5
Q3(46)48% / 52%48%5.8
Q4(51)41% / 59%45%5.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(41)9.954%9.7
2nd(24)8.542%7.3
3rd(15)10.347%7.8
4th(2)6.0100%10.5
All (82)50%8.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(40)10.243%4.3
2nd(34)7.438%4.5
3rd(22)3.059%5.1
4th(3)1.333%0.7
All (99)44%4.4

Jacksonville State, all games.